Teams across the market are smaller than they were two years ago and getting more done. Almost all of them have the same hole: nobody junior. That gap didn't start with AI. Long before generative AI, a lot of companies were already avoiding junior hires, because junior people are difficult and expensive to develop : years of mentoring, tolerance for mistakes, a willingness to pay someone to learn on the job. The youth unemployment numbers have been ugly for a while because of it; recent college graduates were already unemployed at roughly 5.6%, well above the 4.2% national rate , before you even get to AI. AI isn't creating that problem. It's making it worse, because the junior work, drafting the first pass, pulling the data, writing the routine ticket response, is exactly the work AI now does before a human touches it. The debate about AI and jobs keeps getting framed as one question: does AI take jobs, yes or no. That framing is already wrong, and the data coming out thi...